27 July 2022

VW’s new CEO faces twin challenges of Porsche, software problems

Malay Mail

FRANKFURT, July 26 — When Oliver Blume ascends to the top job at German automaker Volkswagen in September, he will be faced with taming the challenges that led to the fall of his predecessor, Herbert Diess, last week.

Serial technical troubles at Europe’s largest carmaker, as well as fractious relationships with workers’ representatives spelled the end of the road for Diess as chief executive, who was ousted in a supervisory board coup.

Blume is moving up from Porsche, VW’s premium sports car brand, which is set to go public later this year during a turbulent time for markets.

In his four years at the helm of Volkswagen, 63-year-old Diess steered the legacy carmaker out of its 2015 “dieselgate” emissions-cheating scandal onto an ambitious programme to become the world’s biggest electric car manufacturer by 2025.

But difficulties at VW’s software arm, Cariad, a pet project of Diess’s, have delayed key plans and made it harder to catch up with competitors like US manufacturer Tesla.

Software is the “number-one challenge”, said Matthias Schmidt, an auto analyst based in Berlin.

Bringing software development in-house, shedding outside suppliers and keeping control of computing architecture of the car, is difficult to achieve, but has potentially huge financial benefits.

Blume “needs to decide whether he will continue to follow Diess’s plan” or make a strategic decision to “buy it in” and “live with the consequence of seeing that potential profit centre vanish”, Schmidt told AFP.

“The idea of doing everything in a centralised way will probably be rethought,” said German automotive expert Ferdinand Dudenhoeffer.

Unanimous vote

In addition to the troubles at Cariad, Diess’s position as CEO was weakened by running battles with workers’ representatives.

The tendency of Austrian-born Diess to rub people up the wrong way and the proliferation of internal spats were the main reason for his exit, according to a source at the carmaker.

There were no dissenters on the vote to finally eject him, just before the start of the summer holidays.

Diess “had enemies” and was “not liked by the politicians or the works council” represented on the supervisory board, Dudenhoeffer said.

The outgoing CEO’s propensity for conflict was “very important” to get the group to face up to its past and find a new direction, he said.

But the task at hand was to carry out the changes Diess had identified as necessary, not to keep bashing heads together, Dudenhoeffer added.

‘Cooperative’

Blume is likely to steer clear of the provocative comparisons with US competitors and strongly worded tweets that won Diess few friends.

The new chief, who has spent his entire career at Volkswagen, is more “cooperative” than Diess, who was hired from rival German carmaker BMW, Dudenhoeffer said.

Chief financial officer Arno Antlitz will bring continuity to the top team at Volkswagen, adding chief operating officer to his portfolio of roles.

Blume will “continue Diess’s big strategic projects”, said Dudenhoeffer, including making VW’s own batteries, building a modern factory close to its headquarters in Wolfsburg and developing mobility services with the reacquisition of rental company Europcar.

Blume will take the steering wheel of the group on September 1, while also retaining his CEO role at Porsche, which is set for a stock market entry in the last three months of 2022.

Blume would likely stay at Porsche through the flotation before having to “concentrate on managing the VW group machine”, said Schmidt.

The future CEO “will be judged on VW’s success in China” and the US, two key markets where Volkswagen has struggled in recent times, said Dudenhoeffer. — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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US has ‘very narrow path’ to avoid recession, says IMF

Malay Mail

WASHINGTON, July 26 — The United States has only a slim chance of avoiding an economic downturn given the many risks it faces, the IMF said today.

“It’s a very narrow path,” IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said. “The current environment suggest that the likelihood that the US economy can avoid a recession is actually quite narrow.”

He warned that even a “small shock” could tip the US economy into recession.

In its latest update to the World Economic Outlook, the IMF slashed the growth forecast for the United States to 2.3 per cent this year, a drastic 1.4 percentage points lower than the April forecast.

It is projected to slow further next year, with growth of just 1.0 per cent.

The US central bank has been raising interest rates aggressively to tamp down red-hot inflation, which is slowing economic activity.

Another increase is expected tomorrow at the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting, with more to follow in coming months.

Gourinchas said that while the US labour market is strong now, with very low 3.6 per cent unemployment, the IMF expects that “as this monetary policy tightening continues, then that’s going to gradually cool off also the labour market” causing joblessness to rise.

Current forecasts call for a slowing but not a downturn, but there are “signs of an economy that is slowing down,” Gourinchas told reporters. — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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Fed opens policy meeting as it seeks to tame inflation

Malay Mail

WASHINGTON, July 26 — The US central bank opened its two-day policy meeting today, preparing for another salvo in the war on rising inflation.

The Federal Reserve is expected to announce another big interest rate increase tomorrow, the fourth this year, in the effort to tamp down price pressures that have been squeezing American families.

The challenge for policymakers is to quell inflation before it becomes dangerously entrenched, but without sending the world’s largest economy into a recession that would reverberate around the globe.

But Fed Chair Jerome Powell and others have made it clear they are willing to risk a downturn in order to stamp out inflation, after annual consumer prices soared 9.1 per cent in June, and central bankers will keep raising rates until they see clear evidence the rate is moving back towards the two per cent goal.

The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee is expected to hike the benchmark borrowing rate on Wednesday by another three-quarters of a percentage point in the next step in its aggressive campaign to cool demand and ease the price pressures squeezing American households and businesses.

“The FOMC meeting began at 10:30 am ET as scheduled,” a Fed spokesperson said in a statement.

While prices have continued to rise, with home prices hitting a new record, there are signs the pace of the increases have begun to slow, which may allow the central bank to ease up on its rate increases.

From zero at the start of the year, the Fed has raised the policy lending rate to a range of 1.5 to 1.75 per cent, which has pushed mortgage rates higher and slowed housing sales for five straight months.

Policymakers want to engineer a “soft landing,” taming inflation without causing a downturn, but economists warn they face an increasingly narrow path to success and it would be easy to overshoot by being too aggressive.

“Interest rates are a very blunt tool, and that’s the tool that the Fed has,” Julie Smith, Lafayette College economics professor told AFP. “I don’t envy them at this point.” — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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US stocks drop as Walmart sees consumers weakening

Malay Mail

NEW YORK, July 26 — Wall Street stocks fell early today after an earnings warning from Walmart exacerbated recession worries on the eve of a key Federal Reserve decision.

The world’s biggest retailer trimmed its profit forecast to reflect increased consumer spending for food, gasoline and other staples that is depressing demand for goods with higher profit margins.

Shares of Walmart, a Dow component, plunged 8.5 per cent in early trading, overshadowing a heavy day of other earnings.

Meanwhile, the Fed was set to start a two-day monetary policy meeting expected to result in another hefty interest rate hike. Analysts fear the hikes could depress consumer activity.

About 45 minutes into trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.3 per cent at 31,882.94.

The broad-based S&P 500 fell 0.7 per cent to 3,940.11, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 1.2 per cent to 11,646.01.

Among other companies reporting results, Coca-Cola gained 2.2 per cent; General Electric won 5.4 per cent; General Motors fell 3.7 per cent; McDonald’s gained 1.8 per cent; and UPS shed 3.3 per cent.

In other news, the International Monetary Fund downgraded its economic outlook for this year and next due to accelerating inflation and the sharp slowdowns in China and the United States.

In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF cut the 2022 global GDP estimate to 3.2 per cent, four-tenths of a point lower than the April forecast, and about half the rate seen last year. — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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21 Items to Cut From Your Budget That You Won’t Even Miss

Woman drinking water from a reusable bottle
Eugenio Marongiu / Shutterstock.com

There’s a trick that dieters know: Cut calories in places where you’re unlikely to even notice them. Put less sugar in your coffee or less butter on your toast. Or replace colas with water. That same trick works for budgeters. If you save money in small ways without feeling the pinch, you’re inclined to keep it up. Savings may be small at first, but over, say, 12 months, they add up...



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5 Ways Americans Are Fighting Off Rising Living Costs

Vera Petrunina / Shutterstock.com

As prices rise throughout the country, Americans are fighting back by changing their behavior in five key ways, according to a recent survey of around 3,400 adults by BMO Harris Bank. The survey found that almost 60% of respondents have seen their finances deteriorate due to inflation, and of those, nearly one-quarter say the impact has been major. In fact, 36% of Americans have reduced savings...



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26 July 2022

10 potential unicorns identified in Malaysia

PETALING JAYA: HSBC & KPMG’s Emerging Giants Report has identified 10 potential unicorns in MalaLysia – Boost Holdings, Exabytes, Jirnexu, Presto Mall, Mindvalley, Neurogine, Eatcosys, Says, Lapasar and PolicyStreet.

While there is no specific formula to be an “emerging giant”, the companies identified are standout players in a wide variety of disciplines, including superior technology and/or technical knowledge, “hyper localised” businesses, mastery of logistics channels and supply chain operations, successful adaptations of their business model(s) based on correct identification of market gaps and a winning culture that attracts and retains talent.

The 10 companies are poised to make a lasting impact on the global business landscape over the next decade, the report said.

“The list of Emerging Giants in Malaysia excites us because it is proof that our nation has all the right ingredients for startups to flourish and be leaders that shape their industry. As a trade bank, we’re always looking for ways to help our customers innovate, develop the solutions of the future and add value. Financial institutions must be committed to offering startups the righAt support so they can scale beyond Malaysia to be an emerging giant or unicorn,” said HSBC Malaysia head of commercial banking Karel Doshi.

“Malaysia has developed a good understanding of technology and how innovation works, as evidenced by the many home-grown companies listed in the top 10 leading emerging giants for Malaysia. While start-ups are poised to continue playing a major role in the country’s development, some may struggle to gain the guidance and business support needed to grow. Beyond government support, nurturing the right ecosystem for our local startups requires adopting a regional outlook, and encouraging strong collaboration by stakeholders in the space,” said KPMG Malaysia head of technology, media and telecommunications Guy Edwards.

The Emerging Giants in Asia Pacific report by HSBC and KPMG took an in-depth look at 6,472 technology-focused startups in 12 Asia Pacific markets with valuations up to US$500 million. The report identified 100 leading emerging giants in AsiaL Pacific that are fastgrowing, influential, anLd innovative with ambitions to achieve LL status and 10 leading emerging giant companies in each market surveyed. The report alsoLA features interviews with start-up founders and executives across the 12 Asia Pacific markets that offer insight on the challenges and opportunities that startups face.

According to Securities Commission Malaysia, funding is starting to reach a significant level – total committed venture capital funds hit US$1.2 billion (RM9.35 billion) in 2021, up 20% on 2020, and nearly five times more than Malaysian startups raised in 2019.



Source: The Sun Daily

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Investment banker, ex-FBI trainee charged with insider trading

Malay Mail

NEW YORK, July 25 — A former investment banker, a former FBI agent trainee and several others were charged today with insider trading in separate schemes that together generated millions of dollars in illegal profits, US prosecutors said.

Damian Williams, the top federal prosecutor in Manhattan, was expected to address the charges in a press conference. Williams, nominated to the role by President Joe Biden, has made enforcement of financial crimes a focus since taking office last year.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission filed related charges over various trading schemes.

Among those charged were Brijesh Goel, a former employee of an unnamed investment bank who provided a co-conspirator with internal, non-public information about potential mergers and acquisitions beginning in February 2017, according to an indictment unsealed today.

The co-conspirator, identified by the SEC as Goel’s friend Akshay Niranjan, used the tips to trade in securities of some of those companies and then split approximately US$280,000 (RM1.2 million) in profits with Goel, prosecutors said.

Goel faces five securities fraud counts and one count of obstruction of justice.

Prosecutors also charged Seth Markin, the former FBI trainee, with insider trading for allegedly buying shares of Pandion Therapeutics Inc before a February 2021 tender offer for the company by Merck & Co.

Markin allegedly learned of the deal by secretly reviewing documents belonging to his then-romantic partner, who worked at a law firm representing Merck.

In a third case, prosecutors said Amit Bhardwaj, a former executive at laser and optical fiber specialist Lumentum Holdings Inc, last fall bought shares in Coherent Inc after learning that Lumentum planned to acquire the company.

Lawyers for Goel, Markin and Bhardwaj could not immediately be identified.

Prosecutors separately announced charges against Stephen Buyer, a former US congress member, for buying shares in Sprint after learning of rival T-Mobile’s plans to acquire the firm in 2018.

Buyer was working as a consultant to T-Mobile at the time, prosecutors said. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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Volkswagen investors question plan for CEO to lead Porsche listing

Malay Mail

BERLIN, July 25 — Volkswagen investors believe incoming CEO Oliver Blume will struggle to lead both the Volkswagen Group and Porsche — and to pull off a planned listing of the sports car maker while wearing both hats.

Friday’s announcement that group CEO Herbert Diess would be replaced by Porsche boss Blume has rekindled investor concerns about corporate governance problems at Europe’s top carmaker, which some shareholders have said weigh on the stock’s performance.

“Blume can’t take care of everything... this underscores the bad corporate management at Wolfsburg,” said Ingo Speich, head of sustainability and corporate governance at top-20 Volkswagen investor Deka Investment, referring to the German carmaking group’s headquarters.

“It is poison for the Porsche IPO,” Speich added. Volkswagen plans to list the luxury cars division in the fourth quarter.

Porsche AG may already have to go public at a steep discount if it decides to go ahead with the listing as economic obstacles mount, Reuters reported last week.

Those concerns have been exacerbated by questions over how Blume can manage his dual role.

“Mr Blume will maintain his role as CEO (of Porsche AG) including after a possible IPO,” Volkswagen said on Monday in response to Reuters’ questions.

Just days before his appointment was announced, Blume and other Porsche AG executives speaking at its capital markets day sold a possible listing of the sports car brand as a means to give it more independence and entrepreneurial freedom while raising funds for the group.

His dual role calls that independence into question, analysts at Stifel and UBS said.

“Such a double mandate can only exist temporarily in an emergency situation — it won’t work in the long-term,” said Ulrich Hocker of the German Association for the Protection of Securities (DSW), which represents retail investors.

Still, most do not at this stage expect a delay to the listing. Some, including car industry veteran Ferdinand Dudenhoeffer speculated Porsche finance chief Lutz Meschke may eventually take over from Blume at the sports car brand.

Complex web

“We trust Blume with the management of the Group, but it is hard to imagine that he will be able to fulfil the dual role of managing the interests as CEO of Porsche AG and the Volkswagen Group in the long term,” said Hendrik Schmidt, corporate governance expert at asset manager DWS.

Schmidt said that one reason for what he described as problematic decisions was the lack of independent members on Volkswagen’s supervisory board. According to Eikon, DWS owns around 2 per cent of Volkswagen’s preference stock.

In its statement on Friday, Volkswagen did not outline any succession planning for Blume at Porsche.

Volkswagen’s share price has nearly halved since March 2021, underperforming a 17 per cent drop in the STOXX Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts Index over the same period.

The carmaker answers to a complex web of investors — its supervisory board controlled by workers’ representatives and regional government, and a holding company owned by the Porsche and Piech families, staffed in part with Volkswagen executives.

Porsche AG’s Meschke is on the board of Porsche Automobil Holding SE, Volkswagen’s top shareholder and owner of more than half its voting rights, while Volkswagen’s chairman Hans Dieter Poetsch is its CEO.

Tensions over who pulls the strings in Wolfsburg have spelled the end of the road for several Volkswagen executives before Diess, with former CEO Bernd Pischetsrieder and former VW brand chief Wolfgang Bernhard forced out of their jobs in the late 2000s after repeated clashes with the works council.

While Diess is largely given credit for Volkswagen’s pivot to electrification — lifting the carmaker from the reputational ruin of the Dieselgate scandal to leading Europe’s electric car market — the governance issues caused by his confrontational approach to leadership ultimately weighed on the investment case, analysts at Stifel Europe Equity Research said.

“Poor corporate governance makes many investors shy away,” Janne Werning, who heads ESG Capital Markets & Stewardship at Union Investment, a top-10 shareholder in Volkswagen, said at the carmaker’s annual general meeting (AGM) last year.

Union Investment, which repeated its criticism of Volkswagen’s governance at the most recent AGM in May, declined to comment for this article. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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