Thursday, June 30, 2022

South Korea to raise minimum wage by 5pc next year

Malay Mail

SEOUL, June 30 — South Korea said on Thursday the Minimum Wage Commission agreed on a minimum hourly wage increase of 5 per cent to 9,620 won (RM33) for next year, in its first such decision since President Yoon Suk-yeol took office in May.

The pay hike will affect up to 3.4 million South Korean workers, the commission said, adding it put the country's growth, inflation and employment outlook into consideration when deciding it.

Former labour-friendly President Moon Jae-in had raised the minimum wage by 16.4 per cent in July 2017 in his first year of presidency, while the country saw a combined 41.6 per cent hike in the hourly minimum wage during his five-year term. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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Ben & Jerry’s to officially return to Israeli settlements after Unilever decision

Malay Mail

JERUSALEM, June 30 — Unilever announced Wednesday it has sold its Ben & Jerry’s interests in Israel to a locally based licensee, clearing the way for renewed ice cream sales in West Bank settlements.

In July last year, US-based Ben & Jerry’s owned by Unilever announced it would no longer sell its ice cream in the Israeli-occupied Palestinian territories, which the Jewish state seized in 1967.

It said selling ice cream in the Israel-occupied Palestinian territories was “inconsistent with our values”, although it said it planned to keep selling its products in Israel.

Parent company Unilever said Wednesday it had “sold its Ben & Jerry’s business interests in Israel to Avi Zinger... the current Israel-based licensee”.

“The new arrangement means Ben & Jerry’s will be sold under its Hebrew and Arabic names throughout Israel and the West Bank under the full ownership of its current licensee,” it said in a statement.

Zinger had continued to produce the ice cream in his factory in the suburbs of Tel Aviv and to distribute it to the Israeli settlements, going against Ben & Jerry’s decision.

“After long months of negotiations, we have managed to secure the production and sale of our beloved ice cream... in Israel and Judea and Samaria,” Zinger said Wednesday, using the Biblical terms for the West Bank.

Hundreds of thousands of Jewish settlers live in the occupied West Bank and east Jerusalem, in communities widely regarded as illegal under international law.

Palestinians had cheered the company’s move last year, seen as a victory for the BDS movement, which calls for boycott, divestment and sanctions of the Jewish state over what it describes as the mistreatment of Palestinians.

Israel’s Foreign Minister Yair Lapid welcomed Wednesday’s decision, saying it “ensures that the Ben & Jerry’s factory and its diverse workforce, will be protected”, in a joint statement with Economy Minister Orna Barbivai.

It also means “its customers both Jewish and Muslim, Israeli and Palestinian, will not be targeted by the de-legitimisation campaign against Israel,” the statement added.

“Anti-semitism will not defeat us, not even when it comes to ice cream,” Lapid was quoted as saying. “We will fight delegitimisation and the BDS campaign in every arena.” Founded in the United States in 1978, Ben & Jerry’s is known for championing progressive causes, including protecting the environment and promoting human rights.

Last year, Prime Minister Naftali Bennett had said Israel “would use all tools at its disposal” to fight the Ben & Jerry’s decision.

Unilever on Wednesday said it had “never expressed any support” for the BDS movement and had “no intention of changing that position”. — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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Companies cut spending, jobs as outlook grows less certain

Malay Mail

NEW YORK, June 30 — Executives at electric car marker Tesla, drug maker Novartis and retailer Bed Bath and Beyond are cutting spending or jobs while others are shelving projects or deals as inflation rages and confidence in the world economy wanes.

Manufacturing growth is slowing worldwide as China’s Covid-19 curbs and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupt supply chains and keep inflation at the highest in years, while the growing risk of a US recession poses a new threat to the global economy.

More companies are now taking early action to help them weather any downturn, a preview that more drastic cuts may loom when earnings reports pour in next month.

“The overarching concern that corporations have right now is how much will the economy slow down, and can we avoid a recession,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities in New York.

“Markets have been held hostage by fears of an inflation-fighting Fed-induced recession. Those concerns have been front and center for most of the year.”

‘Acute shift’

US home goods retailer Bed, Bath and Beyond Inc BBBY.O said on Wednesday its first-quarter sales tumbled 25 per cent.

“In the quarter there was an acute shift in customer sentiment and, since then, pressures have materially escalated, Sue Gove, the company’s interim chief executive officer said in a statement. “This includes steep inflation and fluctuations in purchasing patterns.” In response, the retailer said it is cutting capital expenditures by about 25 per cent and put on hold plans to remodel and build new stores.

Others are shelving expansion plans or cutting jobs.

South Korean battery maker LG Energy Solution Ltd 373220.KS, a major supplier to US carmakers including Tesla Inc TSLA.O, is reassessing a US$1.3-billion (RM5.7 billion) investment in an Arizona factory citing “unprecedented” economic conditions, a plan that was unveiled only three months ago.

Tesla, whose Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk previously said he had “super bad” feeling about the economy, has shuttered a California office and laid off about 200 workers. Musk has said the company needs to cut staff by about 10 per cent.

Swiss drugmaker Novartis NOVN.S said on Tuesday a previously-announced restructuring program could lead to 8,000 jobs being cut, or about 7.4 per cent of its global workforce, as it streamlines its oncology business and non-oncology businesses.

More companies are also increasingly finding it difficult to pass rising costs for raw materials and labor to customers as inflation stubbornly sticks to the highest level in decades.

“For the majority of companies, they have to swallow a lot of these price rises themselves, and that means cutting back elsewhere,” said Stuart Cole, head macro economist at Equiti Capital.

In contrast, the CEO of Cheerios maker General Mills GIS.N on Wednesday told investors higher prices prompted more consumers to forego restaurants and eat at home.

“As consumers become more concerned about the economic reality, the first thing they tend to do is eat more at home,” Chief Executive Jeff Harmening said.

Deals on ice

Market uncertainty has also left a growing number of deals on hold.

Walgreens Boots Alliance WBA.O on Tuesday shelved plans to sell its UK high street pharmacy chain blaming global financial market conditions which meant potential buyers were struggling to borrow enough money.

“M&A events tend to get done in stable or rising markets, so volatility like what we have been experiencing so far this year can negatively affect those activities,” said Morningstar analyst Julie Utterback.

Shares in Europe’s largest online meal ordering company Just Eat Takeaway.com TKWY.AS hit an all-time low on Wednesday amid dual doubts the loss-making company will successfully sell its US Grubhub operation, and whether it will be able to reach profitability without additional funding.

The sell-off came followed a note by Berenberg analysts initiating coverage with a “Sell” rating. The analysts questioned whether the company would be able to dispose of Grubhub for anything resembling the US$5.8 billion it paid for it in an all-shares acquisition that closed in June 2021. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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Xerox CEO John Visentin dies

Malay Mail Social Logo

NEW YORK, June 30 — Printer maker Xerox Holdings Corp XRX.N said on Wednesday Chief Executive Officer John Visentin has died due to complications from an ongoing illness.

Steve Bandrowczak, Xerox’s president and chief operations officer will serve as interim CEO, the company added.

Visentin, who was also the vice chairman of the company, joined Xerox as its CEO in 2018. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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Sharp rate hike bets keep Wall Street subdued, Goldman lifts Dow

Malay Mail

NEW YORK, June 29 —The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were flat in volatile trading today on worries over faster interest rate hikes even as recent data painted a dour picture for the economy, while a boost from Goldman Sachs shares kept the Dow afloat.

Investors fretted over the impact of hefty rate increases on the US economy, as data highlighted the contraction of the US economy in the first quarter amid a record trade deficit following a Tuesday report that showed US consumer confidence hit a 16-month low.

Markets were choppy in the first hour of trading, with investors pointing to quarter-end rebalancing of portfolios as also feeding into higher volatility.

"That (rebalancing of portfolios) was part of the reason why you got a little bit of a lift in the market over the past week, although it seems to be fading because the weakness that preceded the decline to the mid June lows brought equity allocations lower than their targets," said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab & Co.

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said there was a risk that interest rate increases will slow the economy too much, but persistent inflation was the bigger worry.

Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester advocated for another 75 basis points (bps) interest rate hike in the US central bank's July meeting, if economic conditions remained the same.

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and New York Fed President John Williams also backed further rapid interest rate hikes on Tuesday and pushed back against fears that sharply higher borrowing costs will trigger a steep downturn.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc rose 1.3 per cent, boosting the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average, after BofA Global Research upgraded the investment bank to "buy" from "neutral", saying it was well-positioned to outperform in a likely worsening economic environment.

The benchmark S&P 500 was on track for its biggest drop in the first half of a year since 1970, and along with the Dow and the Nasdaq was headed toward a second straight quarterly decline for the first time since 2015.

At 10:28 a.m. ET the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 95.03 points, or 0.31 per cent, at 31,042.02, the S&P 500 was up 0.97 points, or 0.03 per cent, at 3,822.52 and the Nasdaq Composite was down 8.27 points, or 0.07 per cent, at 11,173.27.

General Mills Inc gained 5.6 per cent after the Cheerios maker's sales surpassed estimates despite higher prices.

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc plunged 21.8 per cent after the home goods retailer reported a drop in quarterly comparable sales and said its CEO, Mark Tritton, had stepped down.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.26-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 2.56-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and 35 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded eight new highs and 182 new lows.— Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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11 of the Worst Things to Buy at Aldi

Aldi grocery store at night
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Aldi is quietly becoming one of the most-respected grocery chains in America. In its latest ranking of grocery stores, Consumer Reports awarded Aldi 84 of 100 possible points for overall satisfaction. That puts it just behind some of the nation’s most beloved grocers. Trader Joe’s, for comparison, earned an 87 and Costco received an 86. Every retailer has strengths and weaknesses. Don’t buy a...



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9 Investments Most Recommended by Financial Advisers

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While the COVID-19 pandemic seems to be waning, that doesn’t mean everything is returning to normal. So far this year, we’ve seen inflation surge, a bear market emerge and a recession loom. For investors, the uncertain economic times pose a challenge. Do you stay the course? Switch up your investments? Or maybe pour all your cash into gold as all those TV commercials advise? You’ll need to talk to...



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11 Ways to Upgrade Your Yard for $100 or Less

Happy couple in the front yard of their new house
Lopolo / Shutterstock.com

Once summer arrives at your home, backyards become the stars of the show. If your yard, porch, patio, deck or balcony has been an afterthought for years, it’s time to show it some love. Here are some ways to start upgrading your outdoor space for $100 or less.



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Wednesday, June 29, 2022

Pinterest CEO steps down, Google executive to take over in e-commerce push

Malay Mail

LONDON, June 29 — Pinterest Inc PINS.N said long-time Chief Executive Officer Ben Silbermann would step down, handing over the reins of the social media platform to Google commerce executive Bill Ready.

The news sent the company’s shares 9 per cent higher in extended trading on Tuesday and underscored a shift in focus at Pinterest to e-commerce initiatives from its advertising-based business model.

In Ready, 42, the company gets an executive who for the past two years ran commerce and payment operations at the Alphabet Inc-owned GOOGL.O search giant. Ready has also held senior leadership roles at PayPal PYPL.O.

His appointment brings to an end Silbermann’s 12-year tenure as CEO, which began when he co-founded the company in 2010. Pinterest has grown rapidly since then and now has more than 430 million monthly active users.

Silbermann, 39, will take up the newly created role of executive chairman and keep his board seat, while Ready will also join the board, the company said.

Ready will receive an annual salary of US$400,000 (RM1.7 million) and be eligible for a stock option award to buy about 8.6 million Class A shares.

“In our next chapter, we are focused on helping Pinners buy, try and act on all the great ideas they see,” Silbermann said.

“Bill is a great leader for this transition,” he added. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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8 Must-Have Products for Your Next BBQ

Man at the barbecue
Ivanko80 / Shutterstock.com

Grilling season is in full swing, and you’re probably itching to fire up the barbecue. But first, check out these must-have items that can take your next cookout to the next level. From a grill light and a stuffed burger press to a pizza grilling set, these accessories will change the way you barbecue. We recommend you compare prices around the web before you buy. Also, note that although prices...



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This Is the Top-Rated Dental Insurer in America

Young woman at the dentist
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Consumers are sharply less satisfied these days with dental insurance plans, according to J.D. Power’s 2022 U.S. Dental Plan Satisfaction Study. On a scale of 1,000, customer satisfaction sank 15 points compared with the previous year. In ranking dental insurance plan providers for overall customer satisfaction, J.D. Power considered five factors. Listed in order of importance, they are: Cost...



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Dull Sense of Smell May Be an Early Sign of Alzheimer’s

Woman smelling fresh herbs
Microgen / Shutterstock.com

A declining sense of smell might be a key early sign that a person is developing cognitive impairment related to Alzheimer’s disease, according to a recent study. People who experience a fading sense of smell — known as anosmia — often have brain scans that reveal a faster buildup of harmful proteins associated with Alzheimer’s, say researchers from the National Institute on Aging (NIA).



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Dow, S&P boosted by banks; cautious on consumer confidence data

Malay Mail

NEW YORK, June 28 — Bank shares boosted the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 indexes today as the big four lenders raised dividends following a stress test, but a sharp drop in consumer confidence brought to fore the risks from rising inflation.

Wall Street's main indexes started the week on soft footing on worries of rising prices and an aggressive Federal Reserve dominated sentiment.

Economic data remains at the forefront of investors' focus amid few market moving catalysts till the start of earnings season in two weeks.

The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index dropped 4.5 points to a reading of 98.7 this month, as worries about high inflation left consumers anticipating that economic growth would weaken significantly in the second half of the year.

Investors are now looking at data to determine whether the economy can withstand large interest rate hikes by the US central bank to stamp out inflation.

"People are coming into the end of the quarter with a little bit more stability than they had certainly a month ago and have digested that the Fed may need to use recession as a policy tool," said David Waddell, chief executive officer at investment advisory firm Waddell & Associates.

Morgan Stanley rose 3.1 per cent and led gains among big banks including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. The S&P 500 banks index rose 1.7 per cent.

Airlines, cruises, casinos and hotels rose after China's slashing of the quarantine time for inbound travelers by half boosted hopes of a big jump in international travel and spending.

A 2.6 per cent gain in Spirit Airlines led gains among air carriers, while Melco Resorts jumped 10.3 per cent to lead the rise in the casino sector.

Shares of Walt Disney Inc gained 3.4 per cent the company's Shanghai Disney Resort said it would reopen the Disneyland theme park on June 30 after being shut for more than three months.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are set to post losses in June and are on course to log two straight quarterly declines for the first time since 2015.

At 10:21 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 150.44 points, or 0.48 per cent, at 31,588.70, the S&P 500 was up 10.53 points, or 0.27 per cent, at 3,910.64, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 26.88 points, or 0.23 per cent, at 11,497.67.

Nike Inc shed 3.9% as it forecast first-quarter revenue below estimates on expectations of more discounts and pandemic-related disruptions in China, its most profitable market.

Occidental Petroleum Corp climbed 5.2 per cent after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc raised its stake in the shale producer.

The S&P 500 energy sector index rose 3.7 per cent for the third straight day.

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.68-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and decliners by a 1.47-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and 29 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 20 new highs and 31 new lows. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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Winners and Losers With the Recent Interest Rate Hike

Interest rates increasing decreasing
Andrii Yalanskyi / Shutterstock.com

Editor's Note: This story originally appeared on NewRetirement. The federal government has boosted interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point in an effort to slow inflation. It was the biggest increase in 28 years. They are essentially making it more expensive to do business in the hopes that their actions will slow demand and prices will come down. So, the economy may feel a bit worse...



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Tuesday, June 28, 2022

27 Things You Should Never Pay For — and How to Get Them for Free

Man playing a piano
Monkey Business Images / Shutterstock.com

There are many things we purchase these days that we’d never have dreamed of paying for a few decades back: Television channels? Grocery bags? Drinking water? But a savvy shopper can find ways to get many things free. From entertainment to education, knowing these tricks can help you save big, even on things your neighbors and friends may be paying for. Here are some of the many things you should...



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Free Tool Helps Older People Pay for Rising Expenses

Senior woman with a dog
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If you are an older adult or someone with disabilities struggling to pay day-to-day expenses, a new, free tool can connect you with help. The National Council on Aging (NCOA) announced on June 27 an improved version of its BenefitsCheckUp website. This tool helps older adults and people with disabilities to find nearly 2,000 benefits programs. The programs can help those in need to better afford...



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22 Money-Saving Ways to Use Vinegar in Every Room of Your Home

Woman drinking coffee at home
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Vinegar is an amazing household staple. The humble product cleans and sanitizes without harsh chemicals — and that’s in addition to all of its uses in preparing food. The stinky stuff has loads of uses, enabling it to replace various expensive and often more hazardous household products, such as chemical-ridden cleaners and pesticides. Following are some of the handiest uses for vinegar to get you...



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12 Ways Abortion Bans Will Hurt Americans Financially

Supreme Court
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The United States Supreme Court overturned the landmark legal decision Roe v. Wade on Friday, ending Americans’ constitutional right to abortion 49 years after establishing it nationwide. The court returned the power to regulate abortion to individual states — and, in doing so, set into motion a series of financial consequences for people who can become pregnant. In a dissenting opinion on Dobbs v.



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Wall Street sheds opening gains on losses in high-growth stocks

Malay Mail

NEW YORK, June 27 — Wall Street's main indexes fell after opening higher today, as a rally last week on easing concerns over inflation lost steam, with high-growth stocks leading declines.

"We had a nice rally last week, so I think we're seeing a little bit of profit taking this morning," said Dennis Dick, a proprietary trader at Bright Trading LLC in Las Vegas.

"The stocks that were up the most last week are the ones getting hit the hardest here today."

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index, which gained 7.5 per cent last week, fell 0.7 per cent to lead declines among the three major indexes.

Investors were betting on the retreat in oil prices from the three-month highs hit in June to potentially ease inflationary pressures and likely push the Federal Reserve to moderate its aggressive policy tightening.

However, data today showed new orders for US-made capital goods and shipments increased solidly in May, pointing to sustained strength in business spending on equipment in the second quarter.

Oil prices also moved back into positive territory, pushing up the S&P 500 energy index by 2.2 per cent, reining in expectations for inflation falling on the back of lower energy prices.

The US central bank has rapidly raised interest rates to tame 40-year-high inflation, stoking fears its actions could tip the world's largest economy into a recession.

After the benchmark S&P 500 index earlier this month recorded a 20% drop from its January closing peak to confirm a bear market, investors have been trying to gauge when the market might hit its bottom.

At 10:11 a.m. ET the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 76.62 points, or 0.24 per cent, at 31,424.06, the S&P 500 was down 13.94 points, or 0.36 per cent, at 3,897.80 and the Nasdaq Composite was down 78.44 points, or 0.68 per cent, at 11,529.19.

Shares of Robinhood Markets rose 0.6 per cent after media reports said Goldman Sachs upgraded the retail broker's stock to "neutral" from "sell".

Goldman Sachs, however, cut rating on Coinbase Global Inc to "sell" from "buy", according to media reports, sending shares of the cryptocurrency exchange lower by 9.4 per cent.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.03-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.31-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and 29 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 16 new highs and 41 new lows. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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Monday, June 27, 2022

Tax Matters - What happens upon a taxpayer's death?

THE responsibility to pay taxes does not disappear upon death. The Inland Revenue Board (IRB) can collect the outstanding taxes of the deceased in priority over the other creditors. While sorting out the affairs of the deceased, it is mandatory to settle the outstanding taxes with the IRB, otherwise it will not be possible to close the affairs of the deceased individual and distribute the assets to the beneficiaries.

Income tax and Real Property Gains Tax (RPGT) matters are dealt with in the same way, whether the deceased prepared a will or otherwise. If there is a will, the court will appoint the executor, otherwise, an administrator will be appointed. The executor/administrator has a responsibility to inform the IRB of the date of the death of the individual. Any executor/administrator who fails to comply with this requirement will be jointly and severally liable to pay a penalty equal to the tax due.

Taxes of the deceased

The IRB has three years after the end of the year of assessment in which it has been informed to issue assessments to collect the outstanding taxes and penalties of the deceased individual up to the time of death. If there is any delay in informing the IRB of the date of the death, the three-year time bar will be extended accordingly.

Taxes during the administration of the estate (executor’s responsibilities)

The executor/administrator is responsible for filing the tax returns until the administration of the estate is completed. The taxation principles will be akin to the taxation of an individual (at scaled rates).

Any annuity provided for a will is deductible against the income of the estate and the person receiving it will be taxed in Malaysia whether or not he is a resident in Malaysia. Distributions made by the executor to the beneficiaries will not be deductible to the estate nor will it be taxable at the hands of the beneficiaries.

If the individual died domiciled in Malaysia, the deceased’s estate will be entitled to personal tax relief as a normal individual. The concept of “domicile” is normally based on where the individual permanently resides and regards it as his permanent home.

Transfer of assets from deceased to the executors/administrator

There is no income tax, RPGT or stamp duty upon the estate taking over the administration of the deceased individual.

The RPGT treatment for the transfer of the properties to the beneficiaries (during or at closure of the administration) will not attract RPGT as will done on a “no-gain-no-loss” basis where the disposal price is deemed to be equivalent to the acquisition price of the property.

Subsequently, when the beneficiary sells the property, the acquisition date and acquisition price of the property in computing chargeable gain will be the date of the transfer to the beneficiary and the market value at the date of the transfer.

If the executor/administrator disposes of any properties to third parties, the acquisition date will be deemed to be at the date of death and the acquisition cost for RPGT will be based on the market value on that date.

Stamp duty will be payable by third party purchasers of the property under the normal stamp duty rules. However, there will only be a nominal stamp duty of RM10 for any transfer of assets to the beneficiaries upon the closure of the administration or as directed by the courts.

It is important that the tax affairs of the estate are properly managed to avoid any unnecessary penalties. Any delay in the settlement of taxes can also delay the closure of the administration of the estate.

This article is contributed by Thannees Tax Consulting Services Sdn Bhd managing director SM Thanneermalai (www.thannees.com).



Source: The Sun Daily

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Malaysia urged to fortify itself against likely US recession

PETALING JAYA: As recession risks in the United States increase, researchers and economists are urging Malaysia to prepare in terms of doing all it can to protect the country’s economic health and self-sufficiency.

EMIR Research head of social, law & human rights Jason Loh Seong Wei said the only way out of this possible quagmire is to prepare for it by focusing on food security and self-sufficiency as well as strengthen regional cooperation and integration and deepen Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership linkages.

“It can’t be emphasised strongly enough that this is very critical for our balance of payments (BOP) and foreign exchange (forex) holdings which in turn correlate with our overall economic survival capability and security,” he told SunBiz.

“If we are not careful, we might see a steady depletion of our forex holdings, although not at the rate of Sri Lanka’s. Already Bank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) current holdings have seen the largest drop in seven years, capable of only servicing 5.5 months of retained imports, 1.1 times our short-term external debt. Sizeable capital outflow is expected in the coming months due to the rising federal funds rate in the US as well as a huge import bill for food, repatriation of foreign direct investment remittances, and rising capital goods imports,” he said.

Loh raised these points because of the rising possibility that the US economy will go into recession next year, although it could be a short and shallow one. He said the US economy could well already be in what is the beginning of a technical recession as quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) growth contracted by 1.4% in the first three months of 2022.

According to the Atlanta Federal Reserve branch via its GDPNow tracker, the next quarter is expected to also be on a downward trajectory, at most gaining 0.9% growth, which isn’t enough to offset the first-quarter contraction.

If so, there could be a slowdown in Malaysia’s exports and a reduction in the current (trade) account surplus in the second half of the year onwards as well as a technical recession in 2023 as the US is a top market.

China could also be affected. The world second largest economy’s GDP projection for 2022 has been halved to 4.3% due to factors such as its strict Covid-19 lockdown measures. which means more pressure on the yuan, and therefore the ringgit.

“More downward pressure on the ringgit won’t necessarily boost our exports when the US goes into recession. It will hurt our imports more, making them more expensive. This would further hit our purchasing power which then would force the private sector and households to either even leverage (borrow) more which is highly unsustainable given the current debt levels, or cut back. With rising OPR in view, higher debts will quickly translate into non-performing loans and bankruptcies. Cutbacks will also lead to lower sales and purchases in the economy,” Loh explained.

Thus, Malaysia is set to head into choppy waters that could translate into some kind of a “perfect storm” due to the confluence of both external and domestic forces, with the latter impacted by the former.

Meanwhile, HELP University professor of economics and finance Professor Paolo Casadio opined: “A US real recession will affect Malaysian growth and further weaken investment, the most problematic aspect of this recovery. It is possible to expect a contraction on a quarterly based from two quarters (technical recession) to six or eight. GDP growth in 2022 can go near zero and in 2023 we could see also a full-year contraction of the US economy.

He said a longer, deeper and more disrupting effect on the Malaysian economy would happen in the second case when the destruction of wealth will be produced by the crisis in the stock market and the housing market. That crisis would be much more difficult to manage, implying a crisis in the whole international system based on the US dollar and the fiat money system.

“Pegging the dollar to gold is needed to avoid that perspective a reform of the international financial system a la Bretton Woods.

“Huge fiscal packages will manage the crisis but we will pay a tough bill later on. Anyway, in case of an international recession, there will be also international emergency support to the economies. I denominated the risky scenario the ‘catastrophe’ and I attached to it a 40% probability,” Casadio said.

Malaysia University of Science and Technology provost for research and innovation Geoffrey Williams thinks Malaysia should get through a recession if it is a technical one that is shallow. He suggested keeping the economy running with low-interest rates if Malaysia had to go through a “full-blown” recession.

“(Hence) then we will see a deeper contraction as demand falls, businesses struggling with revenue, higher debts, higher unemployment and falling living standards,” he said.

Williams said the most positive scenario is growth of around 5% in line with forecasts by the government, BNM and the World Bank. The assumption is that “everything will go smoothly” converging to a pre-pandemic scenario, which has a 10% probability.

“Our baseline scenario, to which we give a 50% probability, is positive overall but with some international factors suppressing growth in the global markets as has been signalled by the International Monetary Fund and others. Our growth forecast in the baseline scenario is for 3.5% growth in 2022 and 4.5% growth in 2023,” he said.



Source: The Sun Daily

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Sunday, June 26, 2022

Despite strong summer start, Europe’s aviation industry frets

Malay Mail

ROME, June 26 — Air traffic is booming this summer, but after European vacations are over will passenger demand hold up?

The question was the focus of the annual congress of the Airports Council International (ACI) Europe in Rome this week, held at the cusp of the approaching peak season.

The summer period is shaping up to be by far the best since the beginning of the coronavirus crisis that has severely affected the airline industry since 2020.

Some airlines, such as Ryanair, and countries, in particular Greece, have already recovered or even exceeded their 2019 daily flight numbers, according to Eurocontrol, a pan-European air traffic agency.

Across the continent, air traffic was last week at 86 per cent of the same period in 2019, Eurocontrol said, and expected to reach up to 95 per cent in August under its most optimistic estimate.

And companies are filling seats for the coming weeks despite the sharp rise in ticket prices, long lines in various airports from Frankfurt to Dublin to Amsterdam and strikes by flight attendants, pilots or air traffic controllers.

But after that?

“Visibility is low because there is a lot of uncertainty,” said Olivier Jankovec, director general of ACI Europe.

“We’re now in a war economy in Europe, we have the prospect of a quite harsh recession, we have inflation at record levels, so how all of this is going to play into consumer sentiment... the jury’s still out.”

The director general for transport and mobility at the European Commission, Henrik Hololei, echoed that thought.

“We really need to tighten the seatbelt because there’s going to be a lot of turbulence,” he told delegates.

“We are entering... a period of uncertainty which we have never experienced in the last decade. And that of course is the biggest enemy of the business,” he said.

Too many unknowns

Hololei listed the war in Ukraine, high energy prices and shortages of energy, food and labour.

“We have also interest rates which are going up for the first time in a decade,” he said.

The price of jet fuel has doubled over the past year, with a refinery capacity shortage compounding the explosion in crude oil prices.

Fuel accounts for about a quarter of the operating costs of airlines, which have passed them on to consumers in ticket prices as they seek to refill coffers drained by the two-year health crisis.

Still, strong demand has returned, confirmed Eleni Kaloyirou, managing director of Hermes Airports, which manages the airports of Larnaca and Paphos in Cyprus, where the high tourist season extends into November.

“People want to take their holidays,” she said, acknowledging, however, “we do worry about next year”.

The general manager of Athens International Airport, Yiannis Paraschis, similarly expressed fears that “the increase in energy costs and inflation will consume a great part of European households’ disposable income”.

The head of Istanbul International Airport, Kadri Samsunlu, voiced concerns about inflation’s effect in Western Europe.

And if consumer confidence is damaged, “We don’t know what’s going to happen to the demand,” he warned.

The last unknown hanging over European air travel in the medium term is a possible new outbreak of coronavirus.

“Covid has not disappeared, and it is not a seasonal flu either,” Hololei warned. — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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Ukraine war robs India’s ‘Diamond City’ of its sparkle

Malay Mail

SURAT, June 26 — Yogesh Zanzamera lays out his bed on the floor of the factory where he works and lives, one of around two million Indians polishing diamonds in an industry being hit hard by the Ukraine war.

The air reeking from the only toilet for 35-40 people, conditions at workshops like this in Gujarat state leave workers at risk of lung disease, deteriorating vision and other illnesses.

But Zanzamera and others like him have other more immediate worries: The faraway war in Europe and the resulting sanctions on Russia, India’s biggest supplier of “rough” gemstones and a long-standing strategic ally.

“There are not enough diamonds. Because of that, there is not enough work,” Zanzamera, 44, told AFP at the workshop, situated up some dingy stairs in Surat where he has worked since leaving school at 13.

“The war should end. Everybody’s livelihood depends on the war ending.”

His monthly pay packet of 20,000 rupees (RM1,125) is already down 20-30 per cent, he says.

But he is one of the lucky ones — the local trade union estimates that between 30,000 and 50,000 diamond workers in Surat have lost their jobs.

Rough times

Originally founded as a port city at the mouth of the Tapi river, Surat earned a reputation as the “Diamond City of India” in the 1960s and ‘70s.

Now, some 90 per cent of the world’s diamonds are cut and polished in the bustling industrial city and elsewhere in the western state of Gujarat.

Traders in Surat’s crowded Mahidharpura market openly trade diamonds worth millions of dollars on the streets each day, carrying the precious gems loose in paper wrappings.

“If it doesn’t go through Surat, a diamond is not a diamond,” said Chirag Patel, CEO of Chirag Gems.

Russian mining giants like Alrosa traditionally accounted for over a third of India’s rough diamonds, but supply has all but stopped because of Western sanctions.

For Chirag Gems, Russia was even more important, accounting for half the 900 “roughs” that his firm turns into dazzling gems that sell anywhere from US$150 to US$150,000 (RM660 to RM660,000).

Using state-of-the-art scanning and laser-cutting machines, his factory is better than most, with air-conditioning and exhaust systems protecting workers from inhaling dangerous dust.

But supply has shrunk to a tenth of what it was in the months since Western sanctions cut Russia off from the SWIFT international payments network in March.

“We are not getting goods from Russia because the payments system is stuck due to the war,” Patel, 32, told AFP, saying he is trying to bridge the gap with supplies from South Africa and Ghana.

Demand at Tiffany’s

The June-to-September wedding season in the United States is a crucial period for diamond exporters, Patel says.

The US accounted for more than 40 per cent of India’s US$24 billion exports of cut and polished diamonds in the financial year to March, data from the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) shows.

But along with supply, traders say demand from the United States and Europe, too, has nosedived in recent months as companies like Signet, Tiffany & Co, Chopard and Pandora refuse to buy diamonds sourced from Russia.

Workers like Dipak Prajapati have suffered the consequences. In May he lost a job in May that paid US$320 a month to support his family of six.

“I called the company to ask when I could resume work, but they said they don’t have any work for me and told me to stay home,” the 37-year-old told AFP.

“Sixty per cent of the jobs in Surat run on diamonds. Diamonds are the biggest industry in Surat. I don’t know any work other than diamonds.”

His layoff comes close on the heels of pandemic shutdowns.

“We didn’t get any salaries for six to eight months. We had to borrow money from all sides to survive and are still paying back those loans,” Prajapati said.

The Gujarat Diamond Workers’ Union has asked Gujarat’s chief minister for a 10-billion-rupee (US$128-million) relief package for workers who have lost their jobs.

“We told him that if the situation does not improve in the coming days, our workers will be compelled to commit suicide,” union vice-president Bhavesh Tank said.

“Surat has given the world so much,” Tank says. “Surat has scrubbed diamonds for the entire world but our diamond workers are now getting scrubbed.”

“We can only pray to God that the war will end. If the war does not end, we don’t know how bad things will get.” — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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Mida: E&E segment will continue to be key growth driver for Malaysia

Malay Mail

GEORGE TOWN, June 26 — Malaysia is on the right trajectory to secure more high quality and capital intensive projects, with the electrical and electronics (E&E) segment to continue being a key growth driver for the economy.

Malaysian Investment Development Authority (Mida) chief executive officer Datuk Arham Abdul Rahman said Malaysia is the sixth largest exporter of semiconductors and integrated circuits (ICs) in the world, accounting for 6.3 per cent of the world’s total exports, and this would continue to support the E&E industry as it represents 61.7 per cent of export products.

“Based on current negotiations with potential investors, many of which are multinational companies (MNCs), we are optimistic that the investment figure for 2022 will also be big, albeit not at last year’s record level and that the E&E segment will continue to be the largest contributor of investment approved this year.

“The global shortage of semiconductor is expected to last until the end of December 2023 and consumer demand continues to be high. Therefore companies are looking to invest to ramp up their production to meet the demand,” he told Bernama on the sidelines of the recently concluded Semicon Southeast Asia 2022, which was held from June 21-23.

Arham said foreign investors’ confidence continues to grow because Malaysia has one of the most comprehensive ecosystems in the region in the E&E, machinery and equipment (M&E), aerospace, automotive, and medical devices industries, while the National Investment Aspirations (NIA) would certainly pave the way towards attracting more quality investments.

He said Mida foresees more foreign investors would come to Malaysia, following in the footsteps of the world’s largest and most cutting-edge electronics companies, namely Intel, ST Microelectronics, Infineon, Micron, Texas Instruments, TF-AMD and Osram.

The approved investments for the E&E industry were valued at RM18.6 billion in the first quarter this year and a total of 13,700 job opportunities are expected to be created from these projects, while in the long run, the E&E industry is targeted to contribute RM120 billion to gross domestic product (GDP) and generate RM495 billion in export earnings by 2025.

Meanwhile, Arham highlighted that there were two particular challenges faced by the E&E industry, namely shortage of skilled talent and land scarcity.

To address the talent issue, he said Mida is working closely with local universities and training centres to meet the demand of both local and MNC players to establish more industrial training and learning programmes.

“Land scarcity is another challenge that we are working to overcome. Penang Chief Minister Chow Kon Yeow has announced that the state government is currently identifying new areas to accommodate the needs of the industry and support the E&E ecosystem,” he said.

On overall foreign direct investment (FDI), Arham said Malaysia has attracted a total of RM42.8 billion approved investments in the manufacturing, services and primary sectors, involving 910 projects in January to March 2022.

Moving forward, Mida has identified 446 high-profile investment prospects including Fortune 500 companies in the manufacturing and services sectors with a combined potential investment value of RM150.4 billion as of June 1, 2022.

“Malaysia’s stellar performance despite the challenging years is a strong testament that Malaysia remains an attractive investment destination due to its cohesive business environment, friendly investor policies and effective pandemic measures.

“Mida will continue to introduce innovative measures to ease the challenges of operating businesses in the country while encouraging and facilitating the adoption and adaptation of technology, innovation and research by companies,” he added. — Bernama




Source: Malay Mail

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Abortion decision backs US companies into a tight space

Malay Mail

NEW YORK, June 26 — Several large US companies have pledged to provide health coverage for out-of-state abortions, with a few also slamming the Supreme Court decision nullifying federal abortion rights.

But the issue remains a hot potato, requiring companies to navigate dynamic political terrain with potential legal liability at stake.

“Today’s Scotus (Supreme Court of the United States) ruling puts women’s health in jeopardy, denies them their human rights, and threatens to dismantle the progress we’ve made toward gender equality in the workplace since Roe,” said Yelp Chief Executive Jeremy Stoppelman on Twitter.

“Business leaders must speak out now and call on Congress to codify Roe into law.”

But few other CEOs of large US companies joined Stoppelman Friday in condemning the decision.

More common were statements from companies announcing or reiterating intention to reimburse employees if they need to travel for an abortion.

Friday’s ruling overturned the landmark 1973 “Roe v. Wade” decision enshrining a woman’s right to an abortion, saying individual states can restrict or ban the procedure themselves.

The decision is expected to result in patchwork legal rights across the United States, with abortion legal in progressive states like California and New York and barred in more conservative states like Texas.

Yelp and Airbnb were among the companies to announce such benefits last September following a Texas law banning abortion after six weeks, or before many women know they are pregnant.

Others, including Citigroup, Tesla and Amazon, had also announced the benefit in following months.

More companies came forward after a draft version of Friday’s abortion ruling was published in a press leak in May; this group included Starbucks, Levi Strauss and JPMorgan Chase.

On Friday, Disney added its name to the list, assuring employees of access to reproductive care benefits “no matter where they live,” according to a memo reported by CNBC.

But many other large companies have avoided publicly discussing the topic, a dynamic that Wharton business school professor Maurice Schweitzer considers unsurprising.

Cautionary tale

“I think we’ll see more companies statements. But companies are facing a challenge. On the one hand, they want to be active, be involved, make a statement, lead on this issue, because particularly for some companies, their employees value this,” Schweitzer said.

“But it’s a complicated issue, because the legal landscape will change,” opening companies up to possible litigation, he added.

Schweitzer pointed to Disney’s recent difficulties in Florida as a cautionary tale.

The entertainment giant found itself between a rock and a hard place as Florida’s legislature advanced what critics have called the “Don’t Say Gay” law, which bans lessons on sexual orientation and gender identity in elementary schools.

After initially staying quiet on the proposal, Disney finally spoke out on the measure, enraging far right Republican Governor Ron DeSantis, who ultimately signed a second law specifically punishing Disney over the row by eliminating the company’s special status surrounding its Orlando theme park.

Disney “ended up frustrating employees by not speaking out early enough, but also incurring costs from a political fights.”

Schweitzer noted that more companies have spoken out in recent years, such as Apple CEO Tim Cook on gay rights and Dick’s Sporting Goods on gun control, which on Friday announced that it will provide up to US$4,000 (RM17,600) for employees, their spouses or their dependents who have to travel for an abortion.

But the procedure is “more fraught” than many issues, Schweitzer said.

“It’s easier for companies to try to be silent than to wade into it,” he said. — AFP




Source: Malay Mail

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Commonwealth ends summit with call for action on climate change, trade

Malay Mail

KIGALI, June 26 — The newly-expanded Commonwealth made broad commitments on Saturday to address climate change and boost trade, concluding a summit aimed at shoring up the relevance of a group that evolved from the British empire.

The club, whose 56 members range from India to the tiny Pacific island nation of Nauru, covers some 2.5 billion people or about one-third of the world’s population. It presents itself as a network for cooperation, but critics say it needs to carve out a more concrete role and be less of a talking shop.

The week-long summit in Rwanda’s capital Kigali included comments from Britain’s Prince Charles expressing sorrow for his country’s role in the trans-Atlantic slave trade, the first time the Commonwealth has publicly addressed the subject.

Some members urged the organisation to go further by discussing reparations to countries hurt by the slave trade.

There was no mention of the topic in the final communique or news conference, which instead focused on broad policy pronouncements about sustainable development, health care and gender equality.

A “Living Lands Charter” stated that Commonwealth countries would work to implement previously-signed international deals like the Paris climate agreement.

“We know that we are at code red when it comes to climate change and that the small member states are facing a crisis that could be existential,” Patricia Scotland, re-elected during the summit as Commonwealth secretary-general, told reporters.

Scotland also touted rising trade between Commonwealth members, which she said she expected to hit US$2 trillion (RM8.8 trillion) per year by 2030 after collapsing during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Gabon and Togo were newly accepted into the Commonwealth, part of a trend of French-speaking African states seeking new alliances beyond Paris’ old networks of influence.

“If the Commonwealth wasn’t alive and vibrant and constructive, why would countries such as Gabon ... and Togo join?” Michael Moussa Adamo, Gabon’s foreign minister, told Reuters.

Human rights

Mostly absent from the summit’s public discussions were awkward issues concerning the host country.

Many human rights groups consider Rwanda among Africa’s most repressive countries. The US State Department has cited credible reports of arbitrary killings by the government, including politically motivated reprisal killings abroad.

Neighbouring Democratic Republic of Congo accuses Rwanda of supporting rebels waging a major offensive in eastern Congo.

Rwanda denies all of these charges. At the news conference, Rwandan President Paul Kagame defended Rwanda’s human rights record and accused Western governments of hypocrisy.

“There is nobody that is in prison in Rwanda that should not be there,” he said. “Actually there are people who are not in prison who should be there.”

Also in the spotlight has been Britain’s controversial policy to deport asylum seekers to Rwanda, described as “appalling” by Prince Charles, according to British media.

Kagame defended his country’s role and denied it was motivated by the £120 million pounds (RM648 million) Britain is initially paying Rwanda to house the asylum seekers. The arrangement was put on hold last week after the European Court of Human Rights blocked the first flight to Rwanda.

“We try to do our best to give them a sense of security and normalcy,” he said. “If they don’t come, we won’t complain. It’s not like we are dying to have people come to us in this manner.” — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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G7 considering ways of capping Russian oil price, says German official

Malay Mail

SCHLOSS ELMAU, June 26 — Leaders of the Group of Seven rich democracies are having “very constructive” discussions on a possible cap on Russian oil imports, a German government official said on Saturday shortly before the start of the annual three-day G7 summit.

The proposal is part of broader G7 discussions on how to further crank up the pressure on the Kremlin over its invasion of Ukraine without stoking global inflationary pressures.

The Ukraine war, energy and food shortages and the darkening global economic outlook are expected to dominate the agenda of the summit that is taking place this year in Schloss Elmau, an alpine castle resort in southern Germany.

The United States, Canada and Britain have already banned imports of Russian oil while European Union leaders have agreed an embargo that will take full effect by end-2022 as part of sanctions on the Kremlin over its invasion of Ukraine.

With energy prices soaring though, the West fears such embargoes will not actually put a dent in Russia’s war chest as the country earns more from exports even as volumes fall.

A price cap could solve that dilemma, while also avoiding further restricting oil supply and fuelling inflation, officials say, but for it to work, it requires buy-in from heavy importers like India and China.

“We are on a good path to reach an agreement,” the official said.

The official said the G7 was also discussing the need to combine ambitious climate goals with the need for some countries to explore new gas fields as Europe rushed to wean itself off Russian gas imports. — Reuters




Source: Malay Mail

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Saturday, June 25, 2022

12 Hard Truths About Retirement

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Most of us spend decades working and dreaming of a day when we can retire. But when we finally arrive at our post-work destination, it’s not unusual to find a world of surprises. While some of these revelations can be pleasant, others are more sobering. Knowing what to expect in advance can help you prepare for — and adjust to — life in your golden years. Following are some hard truths you should...



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Here’s Why I Bought Stocks Yesterday

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Every Friday I recap “news you can use” from the week: a handful of quotes from major (and often expensive) news sources, so you can stay up to date on the news that affects your money without spending a dime and in less than a minute. Check out the news blurbs, then read on to learn why I’m buying stocks in a tough market. Stock Market Jumps After S&P 500’s Worst Week in Two Years (June 21...



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6 Ideas to Help Parents Save on Child Care

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Editor's Note: This story originally appeared on The Penny Hoarder. In case you didn’t know, child care isn’t cheap. If you’ve never had kids, or if you have your first little one on the way, you might not be thinking much about those expenses yet. But many parents will tell you they wish they had started preparing for child care costs much earlier. In a recent survey by The Penny Hoarder of 2...



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17 Things You’re Keeping for No Reason — and Should Toss

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When my circa-1987 all-gray kitchen finally underwent a much-needed renovation, my husband and I had to take every single thing out of our cupboards and drawers. It was kind of like an archeological dig, as we discovered mysterious gadgets, orphaned appliance cords and even a 1990 receipt for a coffeemaker purchased by our home’s previous owners. And we learned a major lesson: You probably don’t...



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