09 November 2022

Oil prices slide on China demand worries, US elections

NEW YORK: Oil prices fell more than US$2 on Tuesday (Nov 8) in choppy trading on growing worries about fuel demand as Covid-19 outbreaks worsened in top crude importer China, and jitters about the outcome of US midterm elections.

Brent futures for January delivery fell US$2.56 to US$95.36 (RM451.67) a barrel, a 2.6% loss. US crude fell US$2.88, or 3.14%, to US$88.91 (RM421.12) per barrel.

“The market is entering today with a certain degree of scepticism surrounding the election... It’s a wait to see what the result is type of a situation here,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho here.

US stocks also gyrated as market participants bided their time waiting to see whether Capitol Hill is in for a power shift.

On Monday, both benchmarks hit their highest since August on reports that leaders in China were weighing an exit from the country’s strict Covid-19 restrictions. But new cases have surged in Guangzhou and other Chinese cities, dimming prospects for fewer restrictions.

“Rising Covid cases in China is on most traders’ radars this morning, as the ‘on again/off again’ news of lockdowns continues,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.

Petrol and diesel supplies remain uncomfortably low, he added, limiting the downside for crude prices as most of the United States braces for major cold weather.

US inventories of distillate fuels finished October at their lowest levels for any October since 1951, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

The ICE exchange, home to the Brent benchmark, has increased the initial margin rates for front-month Brent crude futures by 4.92%, making maintaining a futures position more expensive from the close of business on Tuesday.

Market participants, worried high inflation and rising interest rates could spark a global recession, will also watch US consumer price data tomorrow (Nov 10).

The EIA on Tuesday cut its US energy demand outlook for 2023 and forecast US production for next year would be 21% lower than it previously expected.

Oil producer Diamondback Energy also warned that the US shale industry will continue to struggle to expand production at its current pace, with costs of new shale wells likely rising.

US crude oil stocks were expected to have risen by about 1.1 million barrels last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

The European Union ban on Russian oil, imposed in retaliation for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, is set to start on Dec 5 and will be followed by a halt on oil product imports in February. Moscow calls its actions in Ukraine “a special operation”. – Reuters



Source: The Sun Daily

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